The End of Predictability: Pricing Risk in a Warming World

Climate risk is no longer theoretical. It is already reshaping how financial institutions approach insurance products.

Floods are more frequent. Storms are more intense. And the past is no longer a reliable guide. Traditional models struggle to keep up, forcing financial institutions to make decisions with greater uncertainty. How do you price risk when historical data falls short? New technology is part of the answer. Advanced analytics, AI-driven forecasting and real-time data are enabling a shift toward more forward-looking risk models. At the same time, the role of finance is changing. This is no longer just about absorbing losses, but about preventing them. What does it take to move from reactive to proactive, and can resilience become a competitive advantage?

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